For the Oscar nerds out there, here are my predictions of who and what the Academy will nominate on Tuesday morning for their 91st Annual Awards. I’m predicting nominees in all categories but three (Live Action Short, Animated Short, and Documentary Short).

For Best Picture, Academy rules state that there can be “up to 10” nominees, but 10 are not guaranteed. I’m guessing there’ll be 8 this year..

The nomination announcements will be begin Tuesday morning, January 22, at 8:20 AM EST / 7:20 AM CST / 5:20 AM PT.  They will stream live on the official Oscars website, YouTube, Twitter and Facebook, and in part on ABC’s Good Morning America.

My total guesses are 106 nominations across 21 categories.

The predicted leading contenders are:

Black Panther – 10
The Favourite – 10
A Star Is Born – 10
Roma – 9
First Man – 7
Vice – 6
BlacKkKlansman – 5
Green Book – 5
Mary Poppins Returns – 5
If Beale Street Could Talk – 4
Bohemian Rhapsody – 4

My Predictions for
the 91st Academy Award Nominations

BEST PICTURE
– Black Panther
– BlacKkKlansman
– Bohemian Rhapsody
– The Favourite
– Green Book
– Roma
– A Star Is Born
– Vice

BEST DIRECTOR
– Bradley Cooper, A Star Is Born
– Alfonso Cuarón, Roma
– Peter Farrelly, Green Book
– Yorgos Lanthimos, The Favourite
– Spike Lee, BlacKkKlansman

BEST ACTOR
– Christian Bale, Vice
– Bradley Cooper, A Star Is Born
– Ethan Hawke, First Reformed
– Rami Malek, Bohemian Rhapsody
– Viggo Mortensen, Green Book

BEST ACTRESS
– Yalitza Aparicio, Roma
– Glenn Close, The Wife
– Olivia Colman, The Favourite
– Lady Gaga, A Star Is Born
– Melissa McCarthy, Can You Ever Forgive Me?

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
– Mahershala Ali, Green Book
– Adam Driver, BlacKkKlansman
– Sam Elliott, A Star Is Born
– Richard E. Grant, Can You Ever Forgive Me?
– Michael B. Jordan, Black Panther

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
– Amy Adams, Vice
– Regina King, If Beale Street Could Talk
– Margot Robbie, Mary Queen of Scots
– Emma Stone, The Favourite
– Rachel Weisz, The Favourite

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
– The Favourite, Deborah Davis and Tony McNamara
– First Reformed, Paul Schrader
– Green Book, Nick Vallelonga, Brian Hayes Currie, Peter Farrelly
– Roma, Alfonso Cuarón
– Vice, Adam McKay

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
– Black Panther, Ryan Coogler, Joe Robert Cole
– BlacKkKlansman, Charlie Wachtel & David Rabinowitz and Kevin Willmott & Spike Lee
– Can You Ever Forgive Me?, Nicole Holofcener, Jeff Whitty
– If Beale Street Could Talk, Barry Jenkins
– A Star Is Born, Eric Roth and Bradley Cooper & Will Fetters

BEST ANIMATED FILM
– Incredibles 2
– Isle of Dogs
– Mirai
– Ralph Breaks the Internet
– Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
– Capernaum
– Cold War
– Never Look Away
– Roma
– Shoplifters

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
– Crime + Punishment
– Free Solo
– Three Identical Strangers
– RBG
– Won’t You Be My Neighbor?

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
– BlacKkKlansman, Terence Blanchard
– First Man, Justin Hurwitz
– If Beale Street Could Talk, Nicholas Britell
– Isle of Dogs, Alexandre Desplat
– Mary Poppins Returns, Marc Shaiman

BEST ORIGINAL SONG
– “All the Stars”, Black Panther
– “Trip a Little Light Fantastic”, Mary Poppins Returns
– “I’ll Fight”, RBG
– “Shallow”,A Star Is Born
– “When A Cowboy Trades His Spurs For Wings”, The Ballad of Buster Scruggs

BEST FILM EDITING
– The Favourite, Yorgos Mavropsaridis
– First Man, Tom Cross
– Roma, Alfonso Cuarón, Adam Gough
– A Star Is Born, Jay Cassidy
– Vice, Hank Corwin

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
– The Favourite, Robbie Ryan
– First Man, Linus Sandgren
– If Beale Street Could Talk, James Laxton
– Roma, Alfonso Cuarón
– A Star Is Born, Matthew Libatique

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN
– Black Panther, Hannah Beachler, Jay Hart
– The Favourite, Fiona Crombie, Alice Felton
– First Man, Nathan Crowley, Kathy Lucas
– Mary Poppins Returns, John Myhre, Gordon Sim
– Roma, Eugenio Caballero, Barbara Enriquez

BEST COSTUME DESIGN
– Black Panther, Ruth Carter
– Bohemian Rhapsody, Julian Day
– The Favourite, Sandy Powell
– Mary Poppins Returns, Sandy Powell
– Mary Queen of Scots, Alexandra Byrne

BEST MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING
– Black Panther
– Suspiria
– Vice

BEST SOUND MIXING
– Black Panther
– Bohemian Rhapsody
– First Man
– A Quiet Place
– A Star Is Born

BEST SOUND EFFECTS EDITING
– Avengers: Infinity War
– Black Panther
– First Man
– Roma
– A Quiet Place

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
– Avengers: Infinity War
– Black Panther
– First Man
– Mary Poppins Returns
– Ready Player One