The Golden Globe Nominations have made one thing clear: nothing’s clear in this year’s Oscar race.

First, Spotlight and Mad Max: Fury Road dominated early critics group choices. Then Trumbo, Beasts Of No Nation, and The Big Short were embraced by the Screen Actors Guild. Now today, Carol (which won the New York Film Critics top prize) led the 73rd Golden Globe Nominations with 5 total, including Best Picture (Drama) and two Best Actress nods for Cate Blanchett and Rooney Mara. Close behind with 4 each were The Revenant and The Big Short (each up for Best Picture, Drama and Musical or Comedy respectively) and Steve Jobs (though it still missed in major categories like Picture and Director).

Here’s the knee-jerk analysis: the Oscar nom hopes most helped by today’s announcement are for Carol, The Revenant, The Big Short, and Trumbo (all in that order). Room was also boosted by three major nominations: Actress (Drama) for Brie Larson, Screenplay, and an underdog surprise slot in the Best Picture (Drama) race.

Spotlight is still a safe bet, although now that none of its impressive ensemble have been nominated by either SAG or the Globes, its acting prospects have diminished (and its contention to win Best Picture has waned). That cast’s only hope at this point is that these early snubs are a wake-up call to Oscar voters who, as they fill out their ballots, realize that these guys aren’t shoe-ins for nominations – and then vote accordingly. It would be a shame if that entire cast is also ignored by the Academy.

The Martian got a little love, but probably not enough to boost its fading Oscar ambitions. It didn’t help that the film was inexplicably slated in the Musical or Comedy category; that’s the idiocy of the Golden Globes for you, which also placed the satirical Trumbo in the Drama category. Go figure. Still, Matt Damon and Ridley Scott (both nominated today) are still contenders in the Actor and Director categories (respectively), and the hugely popular movie is sure to show up in tech slots.

For me, the most disappointing oversights were made toward Brooklyn, a lush and deeply moving 1950s immigrant drama that has Oscar contender written all over it. Its lone Globe nomination was for star Saoirse Ronan in the Best Actress (Drama) category. I’m really hoping the Academy embraces it.

The 73rd Golden Globe Awards will be handed out live on Sunday January 10, 2016 at 8pm EST on NBC, with host Ricky Gervais.

73^rd GOLDEN GLOBE NOMINATIONS
2015 Films

Best Motion Picture – Drama
– Carol
– Mad Max: Fury Road
– The Revenant
– Room
– Spotlight

Best Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy
– The Big Short
– Joy
– The Martian
– Spy
– Trainwreck

Best Male Performance in a Motion Picture – Drama
– Bryan Cranston, Trumbo
– Leonardo DiCaprio, The Revenant
– Michael Fassbender, Steve Jobs
– Eddie Redmayne, The Danish Girl
– Will Smith, Concussion

Best Female Performance in a Motion Picture – Drama
– Cate Blanchett, Carol
– Brie Larson, Room
– Rooney Mara, Carol
– Saoirse Ronan, Brooklyn
– Alicia Vikander, The Danish Girl

Best Male Performance in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy
– Christian Bale, The Big Short
– Steve Carell, The Big Short
– Matt Damon, The Martian
– Al Pacino, Danny Collins
– Mark Ruffalo, Infinitely Polar Bear

Best Female Performance in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy
– Jennifer Lawrence, Joy
– Melissa McCarthy, Spy
– Amy Schumer, Trainwreck
– Maggie Smith, The Lady In The Van
– Lily Tomlin, Grandma

Best Male Supporting Performance in a Motion Picture – Drama/Musical /Comedy
– Paul Dano, Love & Mercy
– Idris Elba, Beasts Of No Nation
– Michael Shannon, 99 Homes
– Mark Rylance, Bridge of Spies
– Sylvester Stallone, Creed

Best Female Supporting Performance in a Motion Picture – Drama/Musical /Comedy
– Jane Fonda, Youth
– Jennifer Jason Leigh, The Hateful Eight
– Helen Mirren, Trumbo
– Alicia Vikander, Ex Machina
– Kate Winselt, Steve Jobs

Best Director
– Todd Haynes, Carol
– Alejandro González Iñárritu, The Revenant
– Tom McCarthy, Spotlight
– George Miller, Mad Max: Fury Road
– Ridley Scott, The Martian

Best Screenplay
– Room (Emma Donoghue)
– Spotlight (Tom McCarthy and Josh Singer)
– The Big Short (Charles Randolph and Adam McKay)
– Steve Jobs (Aaron Sorkin)
– The Hateful Eight (Quentin Tarantino)

Best Original Score
– Carol (Carter Burwell)
– The Danish Girl (Alexandre Desplat)
– The Hateful Eight (Ennio Morricone)
– Steve Jobs (Daniel Pemberton)
– The Revenant (Ryuichi Sakamoto and Alva Noto)

Best Original Song
– “Love Me Like You Do”, 50 Shades of Grey
– “One Kind Of Love”, Love & Mercy
– “See You Again”, Furious 7
– “Simple Song #3”, Youth
– “Writing’s On The Wall”, Spectre

Best Animated Feature Film
– Anomalisa
– The Good Dinosaur
– Inside Out
– The Peanuts Movie
– Shaun the Sheep

Best Foreign Language Film
– The Brand New Testament (Belgium / France / Luxembourg)
– The Club (Chile)
– The Fencer (Finland / Germany / Estonia)
– Mustang (France)
– Son Of Saul (Hungary)

(To see a full list of the Golden Globe Nominees that also includes Television categories, click here.)